Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has led to a sharp increase in defense spending and arms transfers in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). Many countries are now using offsets to gain greater industrial benefits from foreign procurement. CTO’s report, Offset Trends in Central and Eastern Europe, addresses the growing challenge of sourcing offset intelligence. Drawing on over a decade of archival data, it examines trends across 10 CEE countries, including Poland, Romania, and Ukraine. By comparing pre- and post-invasion data, the report highlights key policy shifts. It offers insights into governments’ expectations, negotiation stages, and performance challenges to guide offset strategies.
Jonata Anicetti is the Head of Research at Countertrade & Offset (CTO), a Non-Resident Fellow at the Liechtenstein Institute on Self-Determination (LISD), Princeton University, and an External Fellow at the Center for Security Studies, Metropolitan University Prague (MUP). Before joining CTO in 2021, Jonata worked as a journalist and analyst for several companies and collaborated extensively with universities across Europe, the Middle East, and the United States. Jonata holds a PhD in defense offsets from the European University Institute (EUI). He has published widely on topics such as arms collaboration, defense countertrade and offsets, China’s geoeconomic diplomacy, and EU strategic autonomy. His work has been presented at major international conferences, including the American Political Science Association (APSA), the International Studies Association (ISA), the European Political Research Consortium (ECPR), and the European International Studies Association (EISA). His academic contributions include publications in International Studies Review, The Journal of Strategic Studies, Policy Studies, RUSI Journal, and Defense & Security Analysis. His recent book, Defence Offsets and the Global Arms Trade: Explaining Cross-National Variations, was published by Routledge.
